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March 14, 2007

Does He Remember How to Flip?
Fantasy Insight-Atlanta Spring Race
By Dennis Michelsen

They say you never forget how to ride a bike. But I wonder, has Carl Edwards forgotten how to flip after a Nextel Cup race? After winning four times in his first thirty-four races of his young career, Carl has now gone winless in the past forty-one races. While this is far from the worst streak among active drivers, currently held by Kenny Schrader at 517 races, it is a shock to those that expected Edwards to continue winning at a terrific rate. But Carl has been reunited with his favorite Crew Chief and posted his first top ten of the season last week at Las Vegas. Amazingly despite Edwards' great record here the odds makers are forgetting him back in Vegas. His 18-1 posting is tied for tenth lowest this week. I wonder if you can get a proposition bet on whether he hits the dismount on his flip? Carl Edwards might be a bit rusty on his technique but he WILL have a flippin' good time in Atlanta this week!

Interesting Stats of the Week
Kasey Kahne has been consistent at Atlanta; top five every time he doesn't crash!

Carl Edwards has best average finish of any active driver

78% of winners have started in the top 10

16th is the only starting position within the top 20 to never have posted a win here

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Prize Note: Tom from Connecticut wins a Diamond Membership playing Fantasy Insight's FLIP FLOPS. Listen this week on www.racetalkradio.com Wednesday night at 10pm ET to see how you can play and win this week's prize!

Fantasy Racing by the Numbers
My unique Power Ratings are back and better than ever for 2007! Combining the three most important factors the numbers never lie. Separate the pretenders from the contenders each week with track type, horses for courses, and consistency factored into one easy to use Power Rating. The key numbers to remember are 80 and 250. A rating of 80 is an acceptable risk for any of the individual ratings and 250 is the cut off for the complete Power Rating. Drivers topping these minimums have a much higher percentage of top ten finishes over the past three seasons! (Only drivers meeting the minimum will be shown in the individual ratings with the top 25 for Power Ratings shown)

Picking a Winner
Each week I will attempt to handicap the winners showing the three drivers I think are most likely to come home a winner! Also the TOP ROOKIE and BEST OUTSIDE TOP 20 will be forecast so you get a complete handicapping picture for the upcoming race.

Winner-Carl Edwards
Better practice his flips this week

Place-Tony Stewart
Imagine if he likes the tires this week

Show-Mark Martin
Said if he wins he will race full time this year

Top Rookie-Juan Pablo Montoya
Less brakes needed this week

Outside Top 20 in Points- Elliot Sadler
Evernham is strong here