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March
21, 2007
Car
of Tomorrow Attitude of Yesterday
Fantasy Insight-Bristol Spring Race
By Dennis Michelsen
The new car is here and just what this will mean to the
racing at Bristol is anyone's guess. Crew Chiefs at testing
last week were suggesting that setups from ten years ago
would be back in style this week with the Car of Tomorrow
debut. How will the front splitter react after damage?
A few teams practiced without the splitter and the results
were ugly with slow times and ill-handling cars. My gut
feeling is that we will see even less passing than normal
at Bristol without guys using the new Carbon Fiber Horn.
There could be even more emphasis put on qualifying and
certain guys stand out as the best bets if that is the
case. How long will it take to get all fifty cars through
technical inspection this week? Will the old-school drivers
have the advantage? Which team will shock everyone and
come to the first Car of Tomorrow race farther ahead of
the competition? This week more than ever you better watch
SPEED to catch all the news on Friday before you have
to make your Fantasy picks!
Interesting
Stats of the Week
Jeff Gordon won four straight Spring races from 1995-98
Darrell
Waltrip won seven races in a row and twelve total
Front
row has won 36% of all races at Bristol
Only
five winners started 20th or worse (5% of all winners)
Ryan
Newman 0 for last 26 races started from pole
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Prize
Note: Tom from Connecticut wins a Diamond Membership playing
Fantasy Insight's FLIP FLOPS. Listen this week on www.racetalkradio.com
Wednesday night at 10pm ET to see how you can play and
win this week's prize!
Fantasy
Racing by the Numbers
My unique Power Ratings are back and better than ever
for 2007! Combining the three most important factors the
numbers never lie. Separate the pretenders from the contenders
each week with track type, horses for courses, and consistency
factored into one easy to use Power Rating. The key numbers
to remember are 80 and 250. A rating of 80 is an acceptable
risk for any of the individual ratings and 250 is the
cut off for the complete Power Rating. Drivers topping
these minimums have a much higher percentage of top ten
finishes over the past three seasons! (Only drivers meeting
the minimum will be shown in the individual ratings with
the top 25 for Power Ratings shown)
Consistency
Factor
|
Driver
J Burton
M Martin
M Kenseth
J Johnson
J Gordon
T Stewart
D Hamlin
C Bowyer
C Edwards
D Stremme
K Harvick
M Truex
J Nemechek
G Biffle
E Sadler
JJ Yeley
R Newman
R Sorenson
K Kahne
Ky Busch
JP Montoya
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Last
5
92
92
92
91
90
88
87
86
85
85
85
84
83
83
82
81
81
80
80
80
80
|
Horses
for Courses
|
Driver
D Earnhardt Jr
M Kenseth
G Biffle
J Gordon
E Sadler
T Stewart
K Harvick
J Burton
J Johnson
R Newman
D Jarrett
J Sauter
D Hamlin
Ku Busch
K Kahne
B Labonte
J Mayfield
C Edwards
S Riggs
M Martin
S Marlin
Ky Busch
M Truex
K Schrader
|
Course
94
94
90
88
87
87
86
85
84
84
84
84
84
83
83
83
82
82
82
81
81
80
80
80
|
Track
Type Factor
|
Driver
C Edwards
M Kenseth
Ky Busch
D Hamlin
G Biffle
J Burton
J Johnson
R Newman
M Martin
K Harvick
J Gordon
J Mayfield
D Earnhardt Jr
K Kahne
B Labonte
D Reutimann
Ku Busch
R Rudd
D Jarrett
R Sorenson
C Bowyer
M Truex
E Sadler
C Mears
D Blaney
|
Type
93
91
91
90
90
89
88
88
88
87
86
85
85
85
84
84
84
83
82
82
82
81
81
81
80
|
Power
Rating
|
Driver
M Kenseth
J Burton
J Gordon
J Johnson
G Biffle
M Martin
D Hamlin
C Edwards
D Earnhardt Jr
K Harvick
T Stewart
R Newman
Ky Busch
E Sadler
K Kahne
Ku Busch
M Truex
C Bowyer
B Labonte
R Sorenson
J Sauter
D Jarrett
J Mayfield
S Riggs
D Reutimann
|
Power
277
266
264
263
262
261
261
260
259
258
253
253
251
250
247
246
245
245
242
241
239
238
237
236
235
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Picking
a Winner
Each week I will attempt to handicap the winners
showing the three drivers I think are most likely to come
home a winner! Also the TOP ROOKIE and BEST OUTSIDE TOP
20 will be forecast so you get a complete handicapping
picture for the upcoming race.
Winner-Jeff Gordon
Won four straight with old-school setup
Place-Matt
Kenseth
Super consistent driver will not beat himself
Show-Tony
Stewart
Best driver will find way to get speed out of new car
Top
Rookie-David Ragan
Don't expect much more than a top 20 from any rook this
week
Outside
Top 20 in Points- Sterling Marlin
Will Ginn Racing surprise again with COT?
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