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May
2 , 2007
Saturday
Night is Made for COT Fighting
Fantasy Insight-Richmond Spring Race
By Dennis Michelsen
The pressure is on to pick another winner this week! I
am in the zone. The handicapping is just too easy lately.
But now the rubber meets the road. Now it is time for
the big dog to hunt. Beware because another lousy cliché
can't be far away! The new and improved Power Ratings
have been hot, hot, hot and even better I am listening
to the numbers more than ever. The result is a run of
Fantasy Racing handicapping seldom seen my mere mortals.
But of course here comes another COT race at another different
kind of track to challenge my expertise. Do I have what
it takes to meet the challenge? Well I am NOT picking
Mike Bliss to win so at least I have a decent shot at
continuing this hot streak. Saturday night is made for
COT fighting under the lights at Richmond!
Fast
Facts of the Week
Better qualify good
20% of winners from pole and
80% from top ten
Impound
race so play those crew chiefs
Success
runs in the family
Lee Petty the first winner here
(2 wins in career) and Richard Petty (13 wins in career)
was the first to win on pavement
Track
has gone from a half-mile dirt track to a three-quarter
mile pavement track with two other lengths in between
More
family affairs
Davey Allison (2 career wins) was
the first to win on the current three-quarter mile version
while his Father Bobby has seven wins here
Petty
last name was first 15 times
Allison finished first 9 times
Earnhardt was winner 8 times
Rowdy
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Fantasy Racing
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Prize
Note: Tom from Connecticut wins a Diamond Membership playing
Fantasy Insight's FLIP FLOPS. Listen this week on www.racetalkradio.com
Wednesday night at 10pm ET to see how you can play and
win this week's prize!
Fantasy
Racing by the Numbers
My unique Power Ratings are back and better than ever
for 2007! Combining the three most important factors the
numbers never lie. Separate the pretenders from the contenders
each week with track type, horses for courses, and consistency
factored into one easy to use Power Rating. The key numbers
to remember are 80 and 250. A rating of 80 is an acceptable
risk for any of the individual ratings and 320 is the
cut off for the complete Power Rating. Drivers topping
these minimums have a much higher percentage of top ten
finishes over the past three seasons! (Only drivers meeting
the minimum will be shown in the individual ratings with
the top 25 for Power Ratings shown)
Consistency
Factor
|
Driver
J Gordon
M Martin
M Kenseth
D Hamlin
J McMurray
J Burton
J Johnson
D Earnhardt Jr
Ky Busch
Ku Busch
K Harvick
J Green
C Edwards
G Biffle
C Bowyer
T Raines
D Stremme
T Stewart
M Truex
|
Last
5
98
94
92
90
90
90
89
86
86
85
84
84
84
83
83
82
82
82
81
|
Horses
for Courses
|
Driver
G Biffle
K Harvick
Ky Busch
M Martin
T Stewart
D Earnhardt Jr
R Newman
K Kahne
E Sadler
J Mayfield
R Rudd
P Menard
M Kenseth
J Burton
C Bowyer
W Burton
C Edwards
Ku Busch
M Bliss
B Labonte
J McMurray
D Hamlin
K Schrader
|
Course
95
94
93
90
90
89
87
87
86
86
85
85
84
84
84
83
83
82
82
82
81
81
80
|
Track
Type Factor
|
Driver
D Hamlin
J Gordon
T Stewart
J Johnson
M Kenseth
K Harvick
C Edwards
J Burton
D Earnhardt Jr
M Martin
R Newman
Ku Busch
K Kahne
Ky Busch
R Rudd
T Raines
B Vickers
B Labonte
JJ Yeley
|
Type
97
97
94
92
90
90
87
87
86
83
83
83
83
82
82
82
81
80
80
|
COT
By The Numbers
|
Driver
J Gordon
Ky Busch
D Hamlin
J Johnson
J Burton
M Kenseth
D Earnhardt Jr
M Martin
T Stewart
C Edwards
C Bowyer
J McMurray
J Green
K Harvick
G Biffle
T Raines
Ku Busch
B Labonte
|
COT
98
96
93
93
93
91
90
88
87
87
86
86
86
85
83
82
80
80
|
Power
Rating
|
Driver
J Gordon
D Hamlin
M Kenseth
Ky Busch
M Martin
J Burton
K Harvick
T Stewart
D Earnhardt Jr
J Johnson
C Edwards
G Biffle
J McMurray
Ku Busch
C Bowyer
J Green
K Kahne
R Newman
B Labonte
R Rudd
T Raines
E Sadler
S Riggs
R Sorenson
D Stremme
|
TOTAL
368
361
357
357
355
353
353
352
352
351
341
336
336
331
331
326
324
323
320
318
315
315
313
312
309
|
Picking
a Winner
Each week I will attempt to handicap the winners
showing the three drivers I think are most likely to come
home a winner! Also the TOP ROOKIE and BEST OUTSIDE TOP
20 will be forecast so you get a complete handicapping
picture for the upcoming race.
Winner-
Denny Hamlin
Last Week 1st
Who said he would have a sophomore slump
not me!
Place-Kyle
Busch
Last Week 28th
This week's Hendrick pick
Show-Jeff
Burton
Last Week 2nd
Has done AOK in the COT
Top
Rookie-David Ragan
Last Week 31st
This kid is good on short tracks
Outside
Top 20 in Points-Jeff Green
Last Week 8th
Haas has done well in COT races
Wednesday
on Race Talk Radio
8pm Eastern-Fantasy Insight-Need help with your Fantasy
Racing lineup? Each week we go beyond the stats to pick
winners! Join Dennis Michelsen and Mike Harper every week
as they play head to head in Flip Flops. You can win great
prizes by picking the winning fantasy handicapper each
week.
8:30pm
Eastern-Racing Rock Star with Gannon Hollywood-Gannon
is the jackman on the No. 47 NASCAR Busch team, and yes
that is his real name! His videos will be featured on
SPEED CHANNEL and his exclusive radio show will be heard
on www.racetalkradio.com
every week!
9pm Eastern-Quick Change- Dennis Michelsen, Mike Harper
and Lori Munro bring you cutting edge commentary and their
own personal unique spins on the world of all things racing.
Our weekly guests will try to keep up! Tune in and just
try to hang on every Wednesday night.
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