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> ROWDY FANTASY
May
9, 2007
Why
Fight the Hendrick Dominance
Fantasy Insight-Darlington
By Dennis Michelsen
Mirror mirror on the wall who is the fastest team of them
all? You don't even have to have a magic mirror or a Fantasy
Racing expert with hi-tech Power Ratings to tell you that
this season! NASCAR told us all how the new Car of Tomorrow
design would improve the competition on the track by making
all the teams even. Well in any form of racing no matter
how even the rules packages the cars and teams are never
even. Congratulations to Hendrick Motorsports for turning
the 2007 season into a farce! In the first ten races a
Hendrick driver has visited Victory Lane an amazing seven
times. In four Car of Tomorrow races (or as Lori would
say the CO2) Hendrick has swept every event so far. That
equates to 70% of the wins, 36% of the top fives, and
46% of all top ten finishes this season! Not since the
days of Carl Kiekhaefer have we seen a more dominant team
in NASCAR. Every other manufacturer and team will be screaming
about NASCAR doing something. The cold harsh reality is
that this is the season of Hendrick Motorsports! Since
NASCAR is not inspecting the Car of Tomorrow as much as
they do the other cars it is no wonder Hendrick has been
this dominant. Over the history of the organization no
one has been as productive in exploiting those gray areas
in the rules with new innovations. (Remember T-Rex?) The
crazy reality is that when we do get to the Chase for
the Championship luck will be more important than consistency.
Wouldn't it be hilarious if this domination continues
but the 12th place driver entering the Chase more than
1500 points behind wins the Championship? In the meantime
for your Fantasy picks this week do NOT get fancy
pick
Hendrick Motorsports on top!
Fast
Facts of the Week
Hendrick has won 7 of 10 races and all four COT events
Hendrick
dominance extends to top 5s (36% of all) and top 10s (46%
of all)
Jimmie
Johnson has 7 top 10s in 8 career starts and best average
finish
Do
or die for Biffle
this is one of his best tracks
with an average finish of 10th and 2 wins in his career
in six starts
19%
of races won from poll, 37% from front row, and 87% from
top ten starting position
Only
5% of the winners have started 20th or worse
Rowdy
Fantasy
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Fan1st
Fantasy Racing
Fan1st is giving race fans a chance to win the greatest
prize in Fantasy Racing history. Can you imagine being
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learning what it is like to be an owner in the Busch series!
Fan1st.com is the sponsor on the No. 32 car driven by
driver Dave Blaney in the Busch series for owner Todd
Braun. This year their Fantasy Racing game is included
in their Diamond Membership package or you can purchase
entry to the race game separately. Fan1st puts the fan
in charge voting on important team matters! Their Fantasy
Racing game has the best prize every offered and is a
bargain to enter for $75 for the whole season! You build
your team selecting a driver, crew chief, manufacturer,
and owner in a salary cap format.
http://www.fan1st.com/index.html
Prize
Note: Tom from Connecticut wins a Diamond Membership playing
Fantasy Insight's FLIP FLOPS. Listen this week on www.racetalkradio.com
Wednesday night at 10pm ET to see how you can play and
win this week's prize!
Fantasy
Racing by the Numbers
My unique Power Ratings are back and better than ever
for 2007! Combining the three most important factors the
numbers never lie. Separate the pretenders from the contenders
each week with track type, horses for courses, and consistency
factored into one easy to use Power Rating. The key numbers
to remember are 80 and 250. A rating of 80 is an acceptable
risk for any of the individual ratings and 320 is the
cut off for the complete Power Rating. Drivers topping
these minimums have a much higher percentage of top ten
finishes over the past three seasons! (Only drivers meeting
the minimum will be shown in the individual ratings with
the top 25 for Power Ratings shown)
Consistency
Factor
|
Driver
J Gordon
J Johnson
D Hamlin
M Kenseth
M Martin
Ku Busch
T Stewart
J McMurray
Ky Busch
D Earnhardt Jr
J Burton
K Harvick
C Edwards
T Raines
C Bowyer
R Newman
M Truex
J Green
G Biffle
B Labonte
|
Last
5
98
92
92
92
91
90
86
86
85
85
84
84
84
82
82
82
81
80
80
80
|
Horses
for Courses
|
Driver
J Johnson
G Biffle
M Martin
B Labonte
D Earnhardt Jr
J Burton
J McMurray
J Gordon
R Newman
T Stewart
C Edwards
K Kahne
Ku Busch
J Nemechek
K Harvick
R Gordon
Ky Busch
E Sadler
R Rudd
M Truex
T Raines
M Kenseth
J Mayfield
D Hamlin
M Bliss
R Sorenson
W Burton
|
Course
97
90
90
89
88
87
87
87
87
86
86
86
85
85
83
82
82
82
82
82
82
81
81
81
81
80
80
|
Track
Type Factor
|
Driver
J Johnson
D Hamlin
J Gordon
T Stewart
M Kenseth
C Edwards
K Harvick
Ky Busch
D Earnhardt Jr
Ku Busch
R Newman
B Labonte
T Raines
M Martin
J Burton
C Bowyer
J Green
K Kahne
R Rudd
|
Type
98
97
97
93
90
89
89
88
86
86
84
83
82
82
82
81
80
80
80
|
COT
By The Numbers
|
Driver
J Gordon
Ky Busch
J Johnson
D Hamlin
M Kenseth
D Earnhardt Jr
T Stewart
C Bowyer
J Burton
K Harvick
C Edwards
M Martin
Ku Busch
J Green
J McMurray
G Biffle
B Labonte
T Raines
R Newman
|
COT
98
97
95
94
91
89
88
88
87
87
87
86
84
84
82
82
81
81
80
|
Power
Rating
|
Driver
J Johnson
J Gordon
D Hamlin
M Kenseth
T Stewart
Ky Busch
D Earnhardt Jr
M Martin
Ku Busch
C Edwards
K Harvick
J Burton
R Newman
B Labonte
J McMurray
C Bowyer
G Biffle
T Raines
J Green
K Kahne
R Sorenson
J Nemechek
M Truex
R Rudd
R Gordon
|
Power
382
379
365
354
354
352
349
348
345
345
343
340
333
333
333
327
327
327
323
316
314
312
312
311
310
|
Picking
a Winner
Each week I will attempt to handicap the winners
showing the three drivers I think are most likely to come
home a winner! Also the TOP ROOKIE and BEST OUTSIDE TOP
20 will be forecast so you get a complete handicapping
picture for the upcoming race.
Winner-Jeff
Gordon
Last Week 3rd
Baby needs a new pair of shoes
Place-Jimmie
Johnson
Last Week 2nd
Four wins already hard to pick against him
Show-Kyle
Busch
Last Week 43rd
Races this COT great
Top
Rookie-Paul Menard
Last Week 20th (2nd best rookie)
Has the most laps here but has to make the show on
time
Outside
Top 20 in Points-Joe Nemechek
Last Week 24th
Strong Horses for Courses rating
Wednesday
on Race Talk Radio
8pm Eastern-Fantasy Insight-Need help with your Fantasy
Racing lineup? Each week we go beyond the stats to pick
winners! Join Dennis Michelsen and Mike Harper every week
as they play head to head in Flip Flops. You can win great
prizes by picking the winning fantasy handicapper each
week.
8:30pm
Eastern-Racing Rock Star with Gannon Hollywood-Gannon
is the jackman on the No. 47 NASCAR Busch team, and yes
that is his real name! His videos will be featured on
SPEED CHANNEL and his exclusive radio show will be heard
on www.racetalkradio.com
every week!
9pm Eastern-Quick Change- Dennis Michelsen, Mike Harper
and Lori Munro bring you cutting edge commentary and their
own personal unique spins on the world of all things racing.
Our weekly guests will try to keep up! Tune in and just
try to hang on every Wednesday night.
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