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August
29, 2007
Why I Hate California Speedway
Fantasy Insight-California 2
By Dennis Michelsen
My hatred for California is not fair! I realize that going
in but I cannot help myself either. It was not California
Speedway's fault that we no longer get the Southern 500
on this weekend. But I will always hate this track because
of what we lost more so than for what California Speedway
itself is all about. Maybe it's like that guy that married
your favorite girl you always dreamed of having in your
life. He might have been a friend too but you resent him
for stealing your lady! The racing here is not spectacular
but it isn't awful either. In fact the racing at California
Speedway might be better than the racing at Darlington
sometimes. But the Southern 500 was tradition! The Southern
500 was OUR tradition! A thief stole it from us that thought
growing the sport meant trashing tradition. Too bad we
couldn't have both. I miss our tradition of the Southern
500 every time this holiday weekend rolls around. THAT
is why I hate California Speedway!
Fast
Facts of the Week Presented by www.nascapper.com
In fourteen races the front row starters have never
won
Jeff
Gordon leads in most wins and top fives; and shares the
lead in most top 10s
Almost
as many winners have come from outside the top 20 (5)
as have started in the top five (5) here
This
is one of four tracks where Tony Stewart has never won
Hendrick
and Roush are tied for most owner wins at 5 each
Eleven
different winners have won the pole and the race in fourteen
starts
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Prize
Note: Tom from Connecticut wins a Diamond Membership playing
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Fantasy
Racing by the Numbers
My unique Power Ratings are back and better than ever
for 2007! Combining the three most important factors the
numbers never lie. Separate the pretenders from the contenders
each week with track type, horses for courses, and consistency
factored into one easy to use Power Rating. The key numbers
to remember are 80 and 250. A rating of 80 is an acceptable
risk for any of the individual ratings and 250 is the
cut off for the complete Power Rating. Drivers topping
these minimums have a much higher percentage of top ten
finishes over the past three seasons! (Only drivers meeting
the minimum will be shown in the individual ratings with
the top 25 for Power Ratings shown)
Consistency
Factor
|
Driver
T Stewart
Ku Busch
Ky Busch
M Truex
C Edwards
C Bowyer
J Gordon
J Johnson
D Hamlin
M Kenseth
|
Last
5
96
94
91
89
89
89
88
88
88
86
|
Horses
for Courses
|
Driver
J Johnson
C Bowyer
M Kenseth
M Martin
C Edwards
Ky Busch
Ku Busch
J McMurray
T Stewart
J Gordon
|
Course
93
92
92
91
91
90
87
86
86
86
|
Track
Type Factor
|
Driver
T Stewart
M Truex
Ky Busch
J Gordon
D Hamlin
Ku Busch
K Harvick
C Mears
C Edwards
D Earnhardt Jr
|
Type
95
92
91
91
90
89
89
88
88
88
|
Power
Rating
|
Driver
T Stewart
Ky Busch
Ku Busch
C Edwards
C Bowyer
J Gordon
M Kenseth
J Johnson
D Hamlin
M Truex
J Burton
K Harvick
M Martin
D Earnhardt Jr
R Newman
C Mears
G Biffle
B Labonte
R Sorenson
D Blaney
B Vickers
K Kahne
P Menard
JP Montoya
D Stremme
|
Power
277
272
270
268
268
265
264
263
262
259
256
255
254
251
251
250
247
237
237
236
236
235
235
234
232
|
Picking
a Winner
Each week I will attempt to handicap the winners showing
the three drivers I think are most likely to come home
a winner! Also the TOP ROOKIE and BEST OUTSIDE TOP 20
will be forecast so you get a complete handicapping picture
for the upcoming race.
Winner-Clint
Bowyer
Last Week 39th
OK one of these times Bowyer will be the next first time
winner
Place-Kyle
Busch
Last Week 6th
90 plus rating in all three categories
Show-Jimmie
Johnson
Last Week 9th
Team needs to gain momentum heading to the Chase
Top
Rookie-Juan Pablo Montoya
Last Week 41st
Has impressed me with his versatility
Outside
Top 20 in Points-Reed Sorenson
Last Week 2nd
Not expecting much more than 15th-20th though
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