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September 12, 2007

And Away We Go a Chasing
Fantasy Insight-NHIS 2
By Dennis Michelsen
The Chase for the Championship kicks off this week at New Hampshire International Speedway and that means the cream of the crop will rise to the top. Since the beginning of the Chase a higher percentage of top ten finishes have been posted by championship competitors. These stats were changed a bit last season with Tony Stewart winning at a high clip but that was Tony Stewart! This season look for the smart money to bet on the Chase teams to perform the best at each and every race in the Chase. Look for Gibbs Racing to have two teams ready to challenge for the Championship with the trio from Hendrick Motorsports. These teams feature the five top-rated Car of Tomorrow entries too.

Fast Facts of the Week Presented by www.nascapper.com
Most Career Wins Jeff Burton (4)

Most Top Fives Jeff Gordon (11)

Most Top Tens Jeff Gordon and Dale Jarrett (14)

Driver changes include Boris Said (98), Sam Hornish Jr (06), and Ken Schrader (21)

Kenny Wallace standing by to sub for Ricky Rudd (88)

Wins from pole 12%

Wins from top 5 28%

Wins from outside top 20 24%

July Winner Denny Hamlin

Last September Winner Kevin Harvick

Rowdy Fantasy
Need more help with your Fantasy games? Check out Rowdy Fantasy at www.rowdy.com for our exclusive weekly feature. Looking for the ultimate source for stock car racing news, even during the off-season? Rowdy has it all--the best news, garage gossip, and insight from drivers, crew chiefs, reporters, and even you fans--all right on your cell phone each and every day! We do more in 5 minutes than most racing sources do in a day!

If you've only got time for one racing show, Rowdy is the real deal. So yes, Rowdy is the only racing show you'll ever need - and it's on your cell every day!

If you want to enjoy the Rowdy show on the phone for free, you can do it any time. Just dial 434-92-ROWDY! Answer 2 easy questions about your phone and you are in.

Fan1st Fantasy Racing
Fan1st is giving race fans a chance to win the greatest prize in Fantasy Racing history. Can you imagine being picked up for the race at your hometown airport in a private jet and flown to Daytona International Speedway? You can invite three people along for the experience of a lifetime learning what it is like to be an owner in the Busch series! Fan1st.com is the sponsor on the No. 32 car driven by driver Dave Blaney in the Busch series for owner Todd Braun. This year their Fantasy Racing game is included in their Diamond Membership package or you can purchase entry to the race game separately. Fan1st puts the fan in charge voting on important team matters! Their Fantasy Racing game has the best prize every offered and is a bargain to enter for $75 for the whole season! You build your team selecting a driver, crew chief, manufacturer, and owner in a salary cap format.

http://www.fan1st.com/index.html

Prize Note: Tom from Connecticut wins a Diamond Membership playing Fantasy Insight's FLIP FLOPS. Listen this week on www.racetalkradio.com Wednesday night at 10pm ET to see how you can play and win this week's prize!

Fantasy Racing by the Numbers
My unique Power Ratings are back and better than ever for 2007! Combining the three most important factors the numbers never lie. Separate the pretenders from the contenders each week with track type, horses for courses, and consistency factored into one easy to use Power Rating. The key numbers to remember are 80 and 250. A rating of 80 is an acceptable risk for any of the individual ratings and 250 is the cut off for the complete Power Rating. Drivers topping these minimums have a much higher percentage of top ten finishes over the past three seasons! (Only drivers meeting the minimum will be shown in the individual ratings with the top 25 for Power Ratings shown)

 

Consistency Factor
Driver
J Johnson
T Stewart
Ku Busch
M Truex
C Edwards
Ky Busch
D Hamlin
M Kenseth
B Labonte
C Bowyer
Last 5
94
94
93
92
90
90
88
87
86
86

Horses for Courses
Driver
J Burton
M Kenseth
K Harvick
T Stewart
D Hamlin
G Biffle
J Gordon
R Newman
D Earnhardt Jr
C Edwards
Course
91
91
91
91
90
89
88
88
88
87

Track Type Factor
Driver
J Gordon
J Johnson
D Hamlin
T Stewart
M Kenseth
K Harvick
R Newman
Ku Busch
Ky Busch
C Edwards
Type
98
97
97
94
91
90
88
87
86
86

Power Rating
Driver
T Stewart
J Johnson
D Hamlin
J Gordon
M Kenseth
K Harvick
M Truex
C Edwards
Ky Busch
R Newman
J Burton
Ku Busch
D Earnhardt Jr
B Labonte
G Biffle
JJ Yeley
K Kahne
C Bowyer
M Martin/ Smith
D Ragan
J Sauter
C Mears
J Green
B Vickers
T Raines
Power
279
278
275
270
268
265
264
263
261
260
260
259
257
252
249
247
245
244
240
239
239
237
236
236
232

Car of Tomorrow
Driver
T Stewart
J Gordon
J Johnson
D Hamlin
Ky Busch
M Truex
R Newman
K Harvick
C Bowyer
Ku Busch
COT
95
92
91
90
89
88
88
87
87
86

Picking a Winner
Each week I will attempt to handicap the winners showing the three drivers I think are most likely to come home a winner! Also the TOP ROOKIE and BEST OUTSIDE TOP 20 will be forecast so you get a complete handicapping picture for the upcoming race.

Winner- Tony Stewart
Last Week 6th
Gets Chase off to a fence climbing start

Place- Denny Hamlin
Last Week 20th
Won here earlier this season

Show- Jeff Gordon
Last Week 42nd
My Hendrick pick of the week

Top Rookie- David Ragan
Last Week 3rd
Team is improving down the stretch

Outside Top 20 in Points- Kasey Kahne
Last Week 8th
All of team's top tens have come at COT or Plate races

 

 

 

 

 

 

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