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September 19, 2007

Monster Playoff Mashing
Fantasy Insight-Dover 2
By Dennis Michelsen
What a contrast racing at Dover this week after that snooze festival at New Hampshire! Very few tracks strike fear into the hopes of Championship contenders more than Dover Downs. Accidents that seem safely behind you here end up coming around quickly to bite ya in the end. The Monster lives and seems to reach out and grab guys when they least expect it. So far in Car of Tomorrow races the Bow Tie Brigade has been tops. Only Carl Edwards flipping good time at Bristol and Juan Pablo's fuel mileage run have been able to beat the Chevy brand at CO2 races this year. With Hendrick, Gibbs, and RCR teams clicking right now I am not sure that dominance will be challenged this week at Dover. But down the stretch I will pick one non-chase team in my picks every week and this week the honor goes to Ryan Newman. Good luck with your fantasy picks this week and tune in at www.racetalkradio.com Wednesday night for more Fantasy Insight information!

Fast Facts of the Week Presented by www.nascapper.com
Most wins by an active driver is shared by Jeff Gordon, Mark Martin, and Ricky Rudd

15% of the winners at Dover have started from the pole

60% of winners have started from the top five

Only 4% of the winners have started from outside the top 20

Eight different winners in the last eight races here

Chevy has won all but two of the Car of Tomorrow races this season

Rowdy Fantasy
Need more help with your Fantasy games? Check out Rowdy Fantasy at www.rowdy.com for our exclusive weekly feature. Looking for the ultimate source for stock car racing news, even during the off-season? Rowdy has it all--the best news, garage gossip, and insight from drivers, crew chiefs, reporters, and even you fans--all right on your cell phone each and every day! We do more in 5 minutes than most racing sources do in a day!

If you've only got time for one racing show, Rowdy is the real deal. So yes, Rowdy is the only racing show you'll ever need - and it's on your cell every day!

If you want to enjoy the Rowdy show on the phone for free, you can do it any time. Just dial 434-92-ROWDY! Answer 2 easy questions about your phone and you are in.

Fan1st Fantasy Racing
Fan1st is giving race fans a chance to win the greatest prize in Fantasy Racing history. Can you imagine being picked up for the race at your hometown airport in a private jet and flown to Daytona International Speedway? You can invite three people along for the experience of a lifetime learning what it is like to be an owner in the Busch series! Fan1st.com is the sponsor on the No. 32 car driven by driver Dave Blaney in the Busch series for owner Todd Braun. This year their Fantasy Racing game is included in their Diamond Membership package or you can purchase entry to the race game separately. Fan1st puts the fan in charge voting on important team matters! Their Fantasy Racing game has the best prize every offered and is a bargain to enter for $75 for the whole season! You build your team selecting a driver, crew chief, manufacturer, and owner in a salary cap format.

http://www.fan1st.com/index.html

Prize Note: Tom from Connecticut wins a Diamond Membership playing Fantasy Insight's FLIP FLOPS. Listen this week on www.racetalkradio.com Wednesday night at 10pm ET to see how you can play and win this week's prize!

Fantasy Racing by the Numbers
My unique Power Ratings are back and better than ever for 2007! Combining the three most important factors the numbers never lie. Separate the pretenders from the contenders each week with track type, horses for courses, and consistency factored into one easy to use Power Rating. The key numbers to remember are 80 and 250. A rating of 80 is an acceptable risk for any of the individual ratings and 250 is the cut off for the complete Power Rating. Drivers topping these minimums have a much higher percentage of top ten finishes over the past three seasons! (Only drivers meeting the minimum will be shown in the individual ratings with the top 25 for Power Ratings shown)

Consistency Factor
Driver
T Stewart
J Johnson
M Truex
Ky Busch
Ku Busch
C Edwards
C Bowyer
M Kenseth
J Burton
B Labonte
Last 5
94
94
92
90
90
90
89
88
87
87

Horses for Courses
Driver
G Biffle
Martin/ Almirola/ Smith
J Johnson
J Burton
C Edwards
M Truex
M Kenseth
R Newman
Ky Busch
C Bowyer
Course
93
93
92
92
92
90
89
89
89
87

Track Type Factor
Driver
C Edwards
J Burton
J Gordon
G Biffle
M Kenseth
C Bowyer
D Earnhardt Jr
Ky Busch
D Hamlin
M Truex
Type
95
93
92
91
89
89
88
88
87
87

Power Rating
Driver
C Edwards
J Burton
J Johnson
M Truex
Ky Busch
G Biffle
M Kenseth
C Bowyer
J Gordon
R Newman
D Hamlin
D Earnhardt Jr
Ku Busch
K Kahne
B Labonte
K Harvick
C Mears
M Martin/ Almirola
T Stewart
R Sorenson
B Vickers
J McMurray
D Ragan
B Elliott
D Reutimann
Power
276
272
271
269
267
267
266
265
261
261
260
254
254
252
252
251
251
248
247
241
237
237
234
233
231

Car of Tomorrow
Driver
T Stewart
J Gordon
J Johnson
M Truex
R Newman
Ky Busch
D Hamlin
C Bowyer
C Edwards
Ku Busch
Last 5
96
93
93
92
90
90
89
88
87
86

Picking a Winner
Each week I will attempt to handicap the winners showing the three drivers I think are most likely to come home a winner! Also the TOP ROOKIE and BEST OUTSIDE TOP 20 will be forecast so you get a complete handicapping picture for the upcoming race.

Winner- Tony Stewart
Last Week 3rd
Team and driver in good form at the right time

Place- Jimmie Johnson
Last Week 15th
My Hendrick driver of the week

Show- Ryan Newman
Last Week 2nd
Team could break through with a win soon

Top Rookie- David Ragan
Last Week 19th (Top Rookie)
Starting to learn how to manage the longer races

Outside Top 20 in Points- Mark Martin
Last Week 20th
Army team has orders to pick up pace or report to Iraq

 

 

 

 

 

 

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