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September 26, 2007

Old Car Winding Down
Fantasy Insight-Kansas
By Dennis Michelsen
This season at the old car races we might see the Chase teams doing better than ever. Why? They might be the only teams willing to put new speedway equipment into play at the end of the year with the old car gone after this season! Each season since the Chase format has begun we have seen Chasers in the top ten at a higher rate versus non-Chasers during the final ten races of the season. While the cream often does rise to the top, the reality of the Chase teams often spending more money to score strong finishes is also in play! Teams that aren't in the Chase will not risk their best cars down the stretch hoping to get good money for them from ARCA RE/MAX teams next season. So for several reasons the smart money is on the Chase teams this week!

Fast Facts of the Week Presented by www.nascapper.com
Six different pole winners in six races here

Chevy has won four of the six races

Jeff Gordon is only driver to win more than once

Ryan Newman and Jeff Gordon share lead with the most top fives and top tens

Half of the winners have started in the top ten with two of those from the front row

Tony Stewart's win last fall was the farthest back a winner has started here (21st)

Rowdy Fantasy
Need more help with your Fantasy games? Check out Rowdy Fantasy at www.rowdy.com for our exclusive weekly feature. Looking for the ultimate source for stock car racing news, even during the off-season? Rowdy has it all--the best news, garage gossip, and insight from drivers, crew chiefs, reporters, and even you fans--all right on your cell phone each and every day! We do more in 5 minutes than most racing sources do in a day!

If you've only got time for one racing show, Rowdy is the real deal. So yes, Rowdy is the only racing show you'll ever need - and it's on your cell every day!

If you want to enjoy the Rowdy show on the phone for free, you can do it any time. Just dial 434-92-ROWDY! Answer 2 easy questions about your phone and you are in.

Fan1st Fantasy Racing
Fan1st is giving race fans a chance to win the greatest prize in Fantasy Racing history. Can you imagine being picked up for the race at your hometown airport in a private jet and flown to Daytona International Speedway? You can invite three people along for the experience of a lifetime learning what it is like to be an owner in the Busch series! Fan1st.com is the sponsor on the No. 32 car driven by driver Dave Blaney in the Busch series for owner Todd Braun. This year their Fantasy Racing game is included in their Diamond Membership package or you can purchase entry to the race game separately. Fan1st puts the fan in charge voting on important team matters! Their Fantasy Racing game has the best prize every offered and is a bargain to enter for $75 for the whole season! You build your team selecting a driver, crew chief, manufacturer, and owner in a salary cap format.

http://www.fan1st.com/index.html

Prize Note: Tom from Connecticut wins a Diamond Membership playing Fantasy Insight's FLIP FLOPS. Listen this week on www.racetalkradio.com Wednesday night at 10pm ET to see how you can play and win this week's prize!

Fantasy Racing by the Numbers
My unique Power Ratings are back and better than ever for 2007! Combining the three most important factors the numbers never lie. Separate the pretenders from the contenders each week with track type, horses for courses, and consistency factored into one easy to use Power Rating. The key numbers to remember are 80 and 250. A rating of 80 is an acceptable risk for any of the individual ratings and 250 is the cut off for the complete Power Rating. Drivers topping these minimums have a much higher percentage of top ten finishes over the past three seasons! (Only drivers meeting the minimum will be shown in the individual ratings with the top 25 for Power Ratings shown)

Consistency Factor
Driver
T Stewart
Ky Busch
J Johnson
C Edwards
C Bowyer
M Truex
J Gordon
D Earnhardt Jr
J Burton
C Mears
Last 5
94
92
91
91
90
90
88
88
88
86

Horses for Courses
Driver
T Stewart
K Wallace
J Gordon
G Biffle
J Mayfield
J Johnson
C Edwards
M Martin/ Almirola
D Earnhardt Jr
C Mears
Course
94
91
88
88
87
87
87
86
85
85

Track Type Factor
Driver
M Martin/ Almirola
G Biffle
Ky Busch
C Mears
J Burton
M Kenseth
J Gordon
T Stewart
J Johnson
C Edwards
Type
92
91
91
90
90
89
89
89
89
88

Power Rating
Driver
T Stewart
J Johnson
C Edwards
J Gordon
G Biffle
Ky Busch
C Mears
J Burton
M Martin/ Almirola
K Harvick
D Earnhardt Jr
M Kenseth
C Bowyer
Ku Busch
K Wallace
M Truex
K Kahne
R Newman
B Vickers
B Labonte
J McMurray
JJ Yeley
D Hamlin
D Reutimann
E Sadler
Power
276
267
266
266
265
262
261
260
260
256
255
255
254
250
249
249
248
244
242
241
240
238
237
236
235

Picking a Winner
Each week I will attempt to handicap the winners showing the three drivers I think are most likely to come home a winner! Also the TOP ROOKIE and BEST OUTSIDE TOP 20 will be forecast so you get a complete handicapping picture for the upcoming race.

Winner- Tony Stewart
Last Week 9th
Car was lousy and Smoke still scored a top ten last week!

Place-Carl Edwards
Last Week 14th
Flipping could get contagious for Cousin Carl

Show-Ryan Newman
Last Week 28th
Team and driver due for some better luck

Top Rookie-Juan Pablo Montoya
Last Week 25th
Should be happy at high speeds

Outside Top 20 in Points- Mark Martin
Last Week 4th
Almost put him in the top three picks this week

 

 

 

 

 

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