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October 24, 2007

Hot (and dry) Lanta
Fantasy Insight-Atlanta Fall
By Dennis Michelsen
The best mile and a half speedway on the NASCAR schedule just can't seem to catch a break from Mother Nature. Tornadoes have ripped this place apart and now a severe drought is putting a strain on the NASCAR visit this weekend. If NASCAR switches this to an impound race it would change my outlook on the event. No team is better at impound races than Hendrick Motorsports so both Jeff Gordon and Jimmie Johnson's stock goes up if NASCAR makes that move. But assuming the race will go on as scheduled with "Happy Hour," just without the water chasers, I will take a chance and pick against the Hendrick Juggernaut this week! Roush Fenway Racing has the horsepower and handling to come out on top. Wouldn't it be ironic to see Matt Kenseth and Carl Edwards dueling for the win in the closing laps? Hey it can and will happen according to my fearless predictions! Since Cousin Carl appears to have the better reach with the right jab I think he will also come out on top this week. Look out for those DEI and RCR cars though if they get that engine issue solved. Dale Earnhardt Jr, Mark Martin, Jeff Burton, and Kevin Harvick are all tough at Hot (N' Dry) Lanta! Good luck with your fantasy race picks this week.

Fast Facts of the Week Presented by www.nascapper.com
Hendrick and Roush both have 3 wins in the last 10 races here

78% of winners started in the top 10

Only 7 of 96 winners started outside the top 20

Bobby Labonte used to be Mister Atlanta with six wins

Jeremy Mayfield gets the start in the No. 66 with Mike Skinner in the No. 36

Ryan Newman will be tough here…seven career poles and the pole winner wins 14.5%

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Prize Note: Tom from Connecticut wins a Diamond Membership playing Fantasy Insight's FLIP FLOPS. Listen this week on www.racetalkradio.com Wednesday night at 10pm ET to see how you can play and win this week's prize!

Fantasy Racing by the Numbers
My unique Power Ratings are back and better than ever for 2007! Combining the three most important factors the numbers never lie. Separate the pretenders from the contenders each week with track type, horses for courses, and consistency factored into one easy to use Power Rating. The key numbers to remember are 80 and 250. A rating of 80 is an acceptable risk for any of the individual ratings and 250 is the cut off for the complete Power Rating. Drivers topping these minimums have a much higher percentage of top ten finishes over the past three seasons! (Only drivers meeting the minimum will be shown in the individual ratings with the top 25 for Power Ratings shown)

Picking a Winner
Each week I will attempt to handicap the winners showing the three drivers I think are most likely to come home a winner! Also the TOP ROOKIE and BEST OUTSIDE TOP 20 will be forecast so you get a complete handicapping picture for the upcoming race.

Winner-Carl Edwards
Last Week 6th
Cranky Cousin Carl wants to win badly

Place-Matt Kenseth
Last Week 3rd
Late race duel with Roush Bully Carl would be good theatre

Show-Dale Earnhardt Jr
Last Week 2nd
Will the step motors last?

Top Rookie-Juan Pablo Montoya
Last Week 26th
One of his 3 top five finishes came here in the Spring race

Outside Top 20 in Points-Mark Martin
Last Week 36th
Always tough here and scored top ten in the Spring, but with Hendrick power