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February 18, 2007

Great American Predictions
By Dennis Michelsen

Its that time of the year to get the dust off ye olde crystal ball and make some fearless predictions bound to go wrong in 2007! This season will be even tougher to handicap than last year due to the number of teams involved. But I will once again step up to the plate and make my educated guesses at some of the happenings in NASCAR this season.

Nextel Cup Division
Championship Chase
Adding two more drivers to the Chase for the Championship this season makes picking the champion a little tougher. But one guy has the motivation to get it done no matter what rules NASCAR throws at him this year. Tony Stewart comes into this season as a man on a mission! After missing the playoffs last season Stewart and his Home Depot team will come out firing on all cylinders in 2007! The rest of the cast of characters in the Chase is not as certain but there are some picks that are easy. In each category I will pick the top five drivers in each classification.

Chase Locks (90% Certainty)
Tony Stewart-He will not be denied two years in a row
Jimmie Johnson-Defending champ is ultra consistent
Jeff Gordon- Didn't become four-time champ by accident
Matt Kenseth-Robot-like precision on the track
Kevin Harvick-RCR is back with the elite

Chase Likely (75% Certainty)
Kasey Kahne-Increase in Chase field good news
Clint Bowyer-Rising star this season with strong team
Denny Hamlin-Forget the sophomore slump talk
Greg Biffle-Too good to miss Chase twice in a row
Elliott Sadler-Solid team to support solid driver

Chase Possible (60% Certainty)
Kyle Busch-End of season slump concerns me
Ryan Newman-Penske has to be better this year
Carl Edwards-Too good to pick against
Scott Riggs-Underrated driver on solid team
Ricky Rudd-If Yates Racing rebounds

Chase Chance (40% Certainty)
Jeff Burton-Veteran usually is consistent
Kurt Busch-He will win races but can he be consistent
Dale Earnhardt Jr-Off track distractions could hurt
Martin Truex Jr-Improved as rookie year went on
David Ragan-Team has made Chase every time

Chase Long Shots (Wouldn't Shock Me)
Dave Blaney-Best shot for Toyota
Robby Gordon-Great driver can he build winning team?
Sterling Marlin-Can Ginn Racing improve enough?
Reed Sorenson-Talented youngster can get more consistent
Juan Pablo Montoya-Don't bet against this great talent

Champion-Tony Stewart
Rookie of the Year-David Ragan
Silly Season Casualty-Jamie McMurray
Most Likely First Time Winners-Scott Riggs, Clint Bowyer, Casey Mears, Reed Sorenson, Martin Truex Jr

NASCAR Busch Series
This will be another year of extensive Busch Whacking and stories about Busch regulars struggling to keep going for the whole year. A few teams and drivers that suffered through a year of domination by the Cup guys have departed or consolidated going into 2007. The shortage of quality teams and possible thin fields could worry new television partner ESPN, which will air all of the Busch races this season.

Champion-Carl Edwards
Second time around with running both schedules will be successful for Edwards
Bye Bye Busch Whackers Champ-Bobby Hamilton Jr
Returns to level and equipment where he can be successful
Rookie of the Year-David Ragan
History is made with ROTY sweep of Busch and Cup

Craftsman Truck Series
NASCAR's most competitive and exciting racing will again be fun to watch in 2007! The mix of young and veteran drivers gives this series a unique formula for exciting action. While I would like to see these rough and tough trucks on more short tracks, the mix of events this year should make for great racing!

Champion-Johnny Benson Jr
He came so close in 2006 and has solid team again
Rookie of the Year-Kelly Bires
Talented youngster is the latest graduate from ASA Late Model Series

Programming Note-Tune into www.racetalkradio.com every week for the latest updates on the news and nonsense from the world of NASCAR!

 

 

 

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