|
HOME
> INSIDE NASCAR
March
7, 2007
Nightmare
Handicapping Scenario
Fantasy Insight-Las Vegas Motor Speedway
By Dennis Michelsen
Handicapping the unknowns is the toughest part in picking
winners in racing! The Las Vegas Motor Speedway has been
rebuilt and none of the past notes for this place matter
at all. Changing from the flatter corners to the higher
speed yet narrow turns figures to have crew chiefs scratching
their setups. The only race run here since the rebuild
was with the Craftsman Trucks so not much could be learned.
Test sessions at the track caused concerns with tires,
which led to NASCAR adopting a smaller fuel cell for this
race only. Perhaps the best bet is to play the horsepower
game. Quite often when a track is new the Crew Chiefs
have a hard time finding the perfect setup. This gives
the edge to the best pure drivers and the teams with a
little more giddy up under the hood! Consistency will
still be king so avoid teams with a history of inconsistency
at faster tracks this week.
Interesting
Stats of the Week
Greg Biffle had 3 wins in the first 4 races after
the Miami-Homestead rebuild
Speeds
caused tire issues in practice so NASCAR switched to smaller
fuel cell for race
Rowdy
Fantasy
Need more help with your Fantasy games? Check out
Rowdy Fantasy at www.rowdy.com
for our exclusive weekly feature. Looking for the ultimate
source for stock car racing news, even during the off-season?
Rowdy has it all--the best news, garage gossip, and insight
from drivers, crew chiefs, reporters, and even you fans--all
right on your cell phone each and every day! We do more
in 5 minutes than most racing sources do in a day!
If
you've only got time for one racing show, Rowdy is the
real deal. So yes, Rowdy is the only racing show you'll
ever need - and it's on your cell every day!
If
you want to enjoy the Rowdy show on the phone for free,
you can do it any time. Just dial 434-92-ROWDY! Answer
2 easy questions about your phone and you are in.
Fan1st
Fantasy Racing
Fan1st is giving race fans a chance to win the greatest
prize in Fantasy Racing history. Can you imagine being
picked up for the race at your hometown airport in a private
jet and flown to Daytona International Speedway? You can
invite three people along for the experience of a lifetime
learning what it is like to be an owner in the Busch series!
Fan1st.com is the sponsor on the No. 32 car driven by
driver Dave Blaney in the Busch series for owner Todd
Braun. This year their Fantasy Racing game is included
in their Diamond Membership package or you can purchase
entry to the race game separately. Fan1st puts the fan
in charge voting on important team matters! Their Fantasy
Racing game has the best prize every offered and is a
bargain to enter for $75 for the whole season! You build
your team selecting a driver, crew chief, manufacturer,
and owner in a salary cap format.
http://www.fan1st.com/index.html
Fantasy Racing by the Numbers
My unique Power Ratings are back and better than ever
for 2007! Combining the three most important factors the
numbers never lie. Separate the pretenders from the contenders
each week with track type, horses for courses, and consistency
factored into one easy to use Power Rating. The key numbers
to remember are 80 and 250. A rating of 80 is an acceptable
risk for any of the individual ratings and 250 is the
cut off for the complete Power Rating. Drivers topping
these minimums have a much higher percentage of top ten
finishes over the past three seasons! (Only drivers meeting
the minimum will be shown in the individual ratings with
the top 25 for Power Ratings shown)
Consistency
Factor
|
Driver
K Harvick
J Johnson
J Gordon
M Martin
D Hamlin
M Kenseth
J Burton
T Stewart
C Bowyer
J Nemechek
|
Last
5
95
91
90
89
89
88
88
86
86
85
|
Horses
for Courses
|
Driver
M Kenseth
J Johnson
T Stewart
J Burton
M Bliss
C Mears
K Kahne
G Biffle
J Gordon
Ky Busch
M Martin
K Harvick
R Newman
|
Course
95
93
91
90
89
88
86
86
86
86
85
85
85
|
Track
Type Factor
|
Driver
J Johnson
M Kenseth
C Edwards
D Earnhardt Jr
D Hamlin
T Stewart
J Burton
K Kahne
J Nemechek
G Biffle
P Menard
|
Type
97
92
92
91
88
88
87
87
87
85
85
|
Power
Rating
|
Driver
J Johnson
M Kenseth
T Stewart
J Burton
K Harvick
K Kahne
J Gordon
J Nemechek
D Hamlin
M Martin
C Edwards
D Earnhardt Jr
G Biffle
Ky Busch
C Bowyer
Ku Busch
C Mears
B Labonte
D Stremme
M Truex
M Bliss
B Vickers
R Rudd
R Newman
D Reutimann
R Sorenson
JJ Yeley
J Green
E Sadler
T Raines
|
Power
280
275
266
264
262
258
257
256
254
254
253
252
251
247
246
245
245
243
240
239
236
235
235
235
233
232
232
232
232
232
|
Picking
a Winner
Each week I will attempt to handicap the winners
showing the three drivers I think are most likely to come
home a winner! Also the TOP ROOKIE and BEST OUTSIDE TOP
20 will be forecast so you get a complete handicapping
picture for the upcoming race.
Winner-Greg
Biffle
Got all his bad luck out of the way during testing
sessions
Place-Casey
Mears
Strong at Texas and this place might race the same
now
Show-Tony
Stewart
Best driver in NASCAR makes him tough to pass here
Top
Rookie-David Ragan
Best prepared of the rookies for this test
Outside
Top 20 in Points- Elliott Sadler
All three Evernham teams tested great
|